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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
44.76% ( -0.18) | 25.81% ( 0.02) | 29.43% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 52.72% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.84% ( -0) | 51.17% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.99% ( -0) | 73.01% ( 0) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.21% ( -0.09) | 22.79% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.5% ( -0.13) | 56.5% ( 0.13) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.29% ( 0.12) | 31.71% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.87% ( 0.14) | 68.14% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
17 | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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