MX23RW : Saturday, May 18 21:28:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bayern logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Heidenheim

Bayern
4 - 2
Heidenheim

Kane (14', 44'), Guerreiro (72'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (85')
Mazraoui (3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kleindienst (67'), Beste (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 2-1 Galatasaray
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Bayern Munich 4-1 Heidenheim

Heidenheim have already frustrated Dortmund away from home this term, but they have since struggled in recent games on the road, losing each of their last four and conceding 11 goals in the process, and they head into Saturday's clash as major underdogs. Bayern, meanwhile, are enjoying an impressive run of form in the Bundesliga, largely thanks to the efforts of Kane in the final third, and we believe that the Bavarians will have few problems securing a comfortable win at the Allianz Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 7.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
81.66% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1) 11.29% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 7.04% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.01% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)22.99% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.76% (-0.315 -0.31)42.24% (0.319 0.32)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.8% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)4.2% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.48% (-0.179 -0.18)17.51% (0.183 0.18)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.8% (-0.111 -0.11)41.2% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.27% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)77.73% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 81.66%
    Heidenheim 7.04%
    Draw 11.29%
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
3-0 @ 9.19% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 6.46% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.49% (0.067 0.07)
5-0 @ 4.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 4.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-1 @ 2.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.11% (-0.015 -0.02)
7-1 @ 0.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-2 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 81.66%
1-1 @ 4.86% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.73% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 11.29%
1-2 @ 2.16% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.53% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 7.04%

How you voted: Bayern vs Heidenheim

Bayern Munich
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Heidenheim
8.3%
36
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2019 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
5-4
Heidenheim
Goretzka (12'), Muller (53'), Lewandowski (55', 84' pen.), Gnabry (65')
Lewandowski (86')
Sule (15')
Glatzel (26', 74', 77'), Schnatterer (39')
Dorsch (40'), Griesbeck (90'), Beermann (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
17FC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!