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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Augsburg |
51.79% ( 0.43) | 23.53% ( 0.01) | 24.68% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 56.21% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.23% ( -0.45) | 44.77% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.87% ( -0.43) | 67.13% ( 0.43) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.69% ( -0.01) | 17.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.34% ( -0.02) | 47.66% ( 0.01) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.97% ( -0.6) | 32.03% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.5% ( -0.69) | 68.49% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
17 | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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