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SV Darmstadt
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Bayern logo

Darmstadt
2 - 5
Bayern

Skarke (28'), Vilhelmsson (90+5')
Franjic (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Musiala (36', 64'), Kane (45+1'), Gnabry (74'), Tel (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 8-1 Mainz
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 0-4 Bayern Munich

Neither side can afford to drop points if they wish to boost their hopes of achieving their respective targets this season, but it will come as no surprise to many that Bayern enter Saturday's contest as firm favourites to come out on top. The Bundesliga's strongest attack, Bayern with 73 goals scored, should have few problems breaching the division's leakiest backline, Darmstadt with 60 goals conceded, en route to comfortably claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.92%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 8.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 2-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBayern Munich
8.87% (0.052 0.05) 13.2% (0.011999999999999 0.01) 77.92% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.95% (0.191 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.73% (0.116 0.12)26.27% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.45% (0.148 0.15)46.55% (-0.149 -0.15)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21% (0.194 0.19)39.79% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (0.179 0.18)76.46% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.59% (0.012 0.01)5.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.82% (0.037999999999997 0.04)21.18% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 8.87%
    Bayern Munich 77.92%
    Draw 13.2%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.67% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.19% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 8.87%
1-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 13.2%
0-2 @ 9.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 8.9% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 8.21% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-4 @ 6.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-4 @ 5.99% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 3.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.78% (0.022 0.02)
1-5 @ 3.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.76% (0.018 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
1-6 @ 1.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-5 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 5.49%
Total : 77.92%

How you voted: Darmstadt vs Bayern

SV Darmstadt 98
12.5%
Draw
6.9%
Bayern Munich
80.6%
72
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Bayern
8-0
Darmstadt
Kane (51', 69', 88'), Sane (56', 64'), Musiala (60', 76'), Muller (71')
Tuchel (7'), de Ligt (38')
Kimmich (4')

Bader (49'), Nurnberger (69')
Gjasula (21'), Maglica (41')
May 6, 2017 2.30pm
Dec 18, 2016 2.30pm
Feb 20, 2016 2.30pm
Bayern
3-1
Darmstadt
Muller (49', 71'), Lewandowski (84')
Rafinha (13'), Kimmich (50')
Wagner (26')
Dec 15, 2015 7.30pm
Third Round
Bayern
1-0
Darmstadt
Alonso (40')
Rafinha (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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