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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Dortmund logo

Union Berlin
0 - 2
Dortmund


Haberer (75'), Vertessen (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (41'), Maatsen (90')
Ryerson (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund have found things a little hard-going of late, and a surprise home defeat last week may have dented confidence slightly ahead of a fixture against in-form opponents. Union's early-season troubles have been left long in the past, and their steady rise up the table could continue this weekend with another positive result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
35.95% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.88% (0.0020000000000024 0) 39.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.12% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)45.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88%59.12% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.91% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)56.67% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 35.95%
    Borussia Dortmund 39.17%
    Draw 24.87%
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 35.95%
1-1 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.12%
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.17%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Dortmund

Union Berlin
19.4%
Draw
20.9%
Borussia Dortmund
59.7%
67
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Dortmund
4-2
Union Berlin
Fullkrug (7'), Schlotterbeck (49'), Brandt (54'), Ryerson (71')
Hummels (30')
Gosens (9'), Bonucci (31' pen.)
Gosens (64')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Dortmund
2-1
Union Berlin
Malen (28'), Moukoko (79')
Behrens (61')
Oct 16, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
2-0
Dortmund
Haberer (8', 21')
Feb 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Union Berlin
0-3
Dortmund

Baumgartl (35'), Mohwald (76'), Knoche (90+2'), Schafer (90+5')
Reus (18', 25'), Guerreiro (71')
Brandt (39')
Sep 19, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
4-2
Union Berlin
Guerreiro (10'), Braut Haaland (24', 83'), Friedrich (52' og.)
Hummels (50'), Witsel (57')
Kruse (57' pen.), Voglsammer (81')
Friedrich (15'), Giesselmann (50'), Ryerson (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
17FC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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