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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 48.9%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
48.9% ( 0.01) | 23.26% | 27.84% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 60.15% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.08% ( -0) | 40.92% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.69% ( -0) | 63.31% ( 0.01) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% ( 0) | 16.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.98% ( 0) | 47.02% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.42% ( -0) | 27.58% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.89% ( -0.01) | 63.11% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 4.13% Total : 48.9% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
17 | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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