Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 8.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15%) and 3-0 (10.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
73.83% ( -0.56) | 17.88% ( 0.39) | 8.3% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 36.62% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.08% ( -1.03) | 50.92% ( 1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.2% ( -0.91) | 72.79% ( 0.91) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.71% ( -0.45) | 12.29% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.95% ( -0.95) | 38.05% ( 0.95) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.75% ( -0.24) | 58.25% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.27% ( -0.13) | 89.73% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 15.73% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 15% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.45% Total : 73.81% | 1-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.88% | 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.19% Total : 8.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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