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Milan logo
Supercoppa Italiana | Final
Jan 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter logo

AC Milan
0 - 3
Inter Milan


Hernandez (77'), Tonali (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dimarco (10'), Dzeko (21'), Martinez (77')
Barella (33'), Calhanoglu (72'), Martinez (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Supercoppa Italiana clash between AC Milan and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, January 14 at 5pm in Serie A

Inter Milan

All competitions
Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-2 Inter Milan (after extra time)

 Separated only by one point in the Serie A standings, these two Italian giants fought tooth and nail for the Scudetto last term and are particularly well-matched at the moment. It could take an extra 30 minutes to decide who returns to the peninsula with silverware in tow, and Inter's in-form strikers may well have the final say. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
43.05% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17) 25.24% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 31.71% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.71% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2% (-0.162 -0.16)47.79% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-0.149 -0.15)69.98% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (-0.152 -0.15)22.16% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (-0.229 -0.23)55.55% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)28.43% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81% (0.0040000000000049 0)64.19% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 43.05%
    Inter Milan 31.71%
    Draw 25.24%
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.71%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Inter Milan

AC Milan
38.5%
Draw
18.3%
Inter Milan
43.3%
252
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5pm
AC Milan
3-2
Inter Milan
Leao (28', 60'), Giroud (54')
Hernandez (9'), Giroud (32'), De Ketelaere (51'), Tonali (77'), Leao (90+4')
Brozovic (21'), Dzeko (67')
Dumfries (9'), Brozovic (39'), Inzaghi (71')
Apr 19, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Inter Milan
3-0
AC Milan
Martinez (4', 40'), Gosens (82')
Skriniar (50')

Hernandez (35'), Tomori (90')
Mar 1, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
AC Milan
0-0
Inter Milan

Brozovic (33'), Martinez (58')
Feb 5, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
1-2
AC Milan
Perisic (38')
Calhanoglu (60'), Skriniar (84')
Giroud (75', 78')
Romagnoli (21'), Diaz (72'), Bennacer (76'), Krunic (90+1')
Hernandez (90+5')
Nov 7, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-1
Inter Milan
De Vrij (17' og.)
Ballo-Toure (26')
Calhanoglu (11' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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