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Luzern
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
swissporarena

Luzern
1 - 2
SLO

Meyer (88' pen.)
Kadak (62'), Villiger (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mahmoud (14', 15')
Akichi (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yverdon Sport 3-1 Luzern
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: SLO 0-4 Lausanne
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Luzern 3-0 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

The hosts come into this game as the clear favourites and with just four losses at home all season, we expect Luzern to win this one. SLO have failed to score in five of their last seven matches, and we expect them to struggle in front of goal once again here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
LuzernDrawStade Lausanne-Ouchy
68.3% (-0.247 -0.25) 17.91% (0.064 0.06) 13.79% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 55.71% (0.291 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.11% (0.12200000000001 0.12)35.88% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.03% (0.134 0.13)57.97% (-0.13699999999999 -0.14)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)9.58% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.94% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)32.05% (0.057999999999996 0.06)
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.62% (0.337 0.34)38.38% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87% (0.32 0.32)75.13% (-0.32300000000001 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Luzern 68.3%
    Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 13.79%
    Draw 17.91%
LuzernDrawStade Lausanne-Ouchy
2-0 @ 10.11% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.91% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.64% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.44% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 68.3%
1-1 @ 8.26% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.91%
1-2 @ 3.96% (0.044 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.52% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 13.79%

How you voted: Luzern vs SLO

Luzern
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
SLO
2-1
Luzern
Gharbi (58'), Diakite (61')
Hamdiu (8')
Okou (73')
Beloko (42'), Klidje (90+5')
Feb 1, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
SLO
0-3
Luzern

Bamba (71'), Hamdiu (90+2')
Klidje (30'), Jasari (34'), Dorn (63')
Klidje (21')
Jul 30, 2023 1.15pm
Gameweek 2
Luzern
2-1
SLO
Villiger (50', 85')
Kadak (30'), Beka (80')
Mahmoud (82')
Hamdiju (26'), Obexer (39'), Bamba (79'), Mahmoud (84'), Danho (87')
Mahmoud (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1Young Boys38238776344277
2LuganoLugano382051367511665
3Servette3818101059431664
4FC Zurich3816121053411260
5St GallenSt Gallen38169136051957
6FC WinterthurWinterthur381310156071-1149
Relegation Round
1Luzern381310154753-649
2Basel381310154552-749
3Yverdon Sport38138175071-2147
4Lausanne SportLausanne381112154853-545
5Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper38108204149-838
6Stade Lausanne-OuchySLO3878234077-3729
 
Regular Season
1Young Boys33198667323565
2LuganoLugano331851061441759
3Servette33169853381557
4St GallenSt Gallen33148115344950
5FC WinterthurWinterthur331310105556-149
6FC Zurich33121294435948
7Luzern33128134146-544
8Lausanne SportLausanne331010134348-540
9Basel33117154151-1040
10Yverdon Sport33117154364-2140
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper3386193545-1030
12Stade Lausanne-OuchySLO3358203366-3323


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