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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Stuttgart
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Guirassy (19'), Fuhrich (65')
Vagnomann (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Khedira (39'), Tousart (77')
Schafer (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin

Union Berlin have only lost one of their last five Bundesliga matches, but they will be coming up against a Stuttgart side in excellent form. The hosts are winning a lot of games at the moment, and we are expecting them to put another three points on the board on Friday night in routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 3-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawUnion Berlin
72.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 16.66%10.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)38.49% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.21% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)60.78% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.78% (-0.012 -0.01)9.21% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.81% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)31.18% (0.029 0.03)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.69% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)45.3% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.82% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)81.17% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 72.75%
    Union Berlin 10.58%
    Draw 16.66%
StuttgartDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.86% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.43% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 72.75%
1-1 @ 7.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 16.66%
0-1 @ 3.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 10.58%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Union Berlin

Stuttgart
79.7%
Draw
12.7%
Union Berlin
7.6%
118
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Stuttgart
1-0
Union Berlin
Undav (45')
Stergiou (88'), Ito (90+1')

Tousart (85'), Fischer (86'), Gosens (90+1')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Union Berlin
0-3
Stuttgart

Haberer (34'), Behrens (49')
Guirassy (16'), Wamangituka (81'), Undav (88')
Rouault (34'), Hoeness (35')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
3-0
Stuttgart
Becker (51'), Behrens (65'), Haraguchi (68' og.)
Oct 9, 2022 6.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
1-1
Stuttgart
Awoniyi (41' pen.)
Giesselmann (32'), Promel (90+1'), Schafer (90+4')
Kalajdzic (90')
Mavropanos (40'), Ito (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
17FC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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