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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadion
FC Twente logo

PSV
1 - 0
FC Twente

Pepi (90+6')
de Jong (33'), Tillman (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Boadu (55'), Unnerstall (57'), Regeer (83'), Smal (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Dortmund 2-0 PSV
Wednesday, March 13 at 8pm in Champions League

FC Twente

All competitions
Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 FC Twente

 PSV have been sensational this season, particularly at Philips Stadion, where they have found the net at least twice in each of their 12 league home games this season. While they will still be feeling the effects of their midweek disappointment, we are expecting them to bounce back with a solid performance in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawFC Twente
52.3% (-0.849 -0.85) 21.67% (0.263 0.26) 26.03% (0.587 0.59)
Both teams to score 64.27% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.23% (-0.721 -0.72)34.77% (0.72 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.27% (-0.81 -0.81)56.74% (0.81 0.81)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (-0.508 -0.51)13.55% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.36% (-1.024 -1.02)40.64% (1.024 1.02)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (0.033000000000001 0.03)25.65% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (0.043999999999997 0.04)60.56% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 52.31%
    FC Twente 26.03%
    Draw 21.67%
PSV EindhovenDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 9.45%
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.28% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-3 @ 0.97% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 9.45% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.48% (0.126 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.67%
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.126 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.73% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.22% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.057 0.06)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 26.03%

How you voted: PSV vs FC Twente

PSV Eindhoven
87.1%
Draw
6.5%
FC Twente
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2024 8pm
Second Round
PSV
3-1
FC Twente
Vertessen (19'), De Jong (55'), Bakayoko (61')
Teze (64')
Ugalde (68')
Propper (58'), Rots (81')
Nov 25, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 13
FC Twente
0-3
PSV

Propper (90+4')
Hilgers (25')
Veerman (45+1'), Propper (49' og.), Bakayoko (82')
Schouten (52'), Bakayoko (80')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 23
PSV
3-1
FC Twente
Silva (9'), De Jong (57'), Simons (74')
Misidjan (47')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 5
FC Twente
2-1
PSV
Cerny (17', 24')
Propper (27')
Til (55')
Max (74'), Sangare (76')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 25
FC Twente
3-3
PSV
Van Wolfswinkel (13', 19'), Vlap (25')
Sadilek (42'), van Wolfswinkel (59'), Zerrouki (78')
Veerman (35'), Gakpo (53'), Boscagli (90+3')
Ramalho (59'), Sangare (71'), Vinicius (80')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446
> Eredivisie Full Table


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