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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Marseille

Lens
1 - 0
Marseille

Gradit (90')
Gradit (44'), Abdul Samed (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lodi (37'), Oliveira (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSV 1-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: AEK Athens 0-2 Marseille
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lens 1-1 Marseille

 Both sides have shown pragmatic approaches to get results in recent weeks, as defensive solidity has been the backbone of Haise's success at Lens. It will be a tough place to come to end Marseille's winless away run, and that is set to continue, but the spoils may well be shared here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.

Result
LensDrawMarseille
46.91% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 25.21% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 27.88% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 53.61% (0.41 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (0.489 0.49)49.53% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (0.437 0.44)71.56% (-0.438 -0.44)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.87% (0.185 0.19)21.13% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.02% (0.287 0.29)53.98% (-0.286 -0.29)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (0.36 0.36)32.02% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.407 0.41)68.48% (-0.40599999999999 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Lens 46.91%
    Marseille 27.88%
    Draw 25.2%
LensDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.91%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.88%

How you voted: Lens vs Marseille

Lens
51.4%
Draw
31.4%
Marseille
17.1%
35
Head to Head
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Gameweek 34
Lens
2-1
Marseille
Fofana (42'), Openda (60')
Payet (88')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 12
Marseille
0-1
Lens
Costa (78')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Lens
0-2
Marseille

Danso (20'), Medina (32'), Sotoca (49')
Payet (34' pen.), Bakambu (77')
Peres (71'), Lirola (86')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Marseille
2-3
Lens
Payet (33', 45+2' pen.)
Gueye (6'), Guendouzi (7')
Sotoca (9' pen.), Frankowski (27'), Said (71')
Said (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 23
Lens
2-2
Marseille
Sotoca (46'), Medina (61')
Fofana (43'), Doucoure (48'), Medina (63'), Jean (90+2')
Thauvin (37'), Milik (45+2')
Lirola (60'), Gonzalez (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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