MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 18:23:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Toulouse

Lorient
1 - 2
Toulouse

Ponceau (19')
Adjei (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dallinga (59'), Cissoko (83')
Diarra (38'), Aboukhlal (51'), Sierro (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, April 24 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Toulouse

Although Lorient may benefit from having home advantage on Sunday, we cannot ignore that Toulouse are currently one of the form teams in the division. We feel that will continue on Sunday with the visitors battling their way to another maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
LorientDrawToulouse
26.55% (0.269 0.27) 23.95% (0.023 0.02) 49.5% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 56.68% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.107 0.11)45% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.102 0.1)67.35% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.265 0.27)30.66% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (0.314 0.31)66.9% (-0.318 -0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)18.26% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68% (-0.126 -0.13)49.32% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 26.55%
    Toulouse 49.5%
    Draw 23.94%
LorientDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.91% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 26.55%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.52% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.09% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.42% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 49.5%

How you voted: Lorient vs Toulouse

Lorient
31.6%
Draw
15.8%
Toulouse
52.6%
19
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
1-1
Lorient
Dallinga (72')
Donnum (1'), Martinez (2'), Sierro (83')
Dieng (90+1')
Bakayoko (9'), Talbi (33'), Ponceau (71'), Mendy (83')
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 3
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
Ratao (31'), Dallinga (64')
Dallinga (43'), van den Boomen (72')
Lauriente (2'), Kone (80' pen.)
Le Fee (23')
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Third Round
Toulouse
0-1
Lorient

Sylla (28'), Yago (45')
Bila (74')
Kamissoko (32')
Feb 8, 2017 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!